Burgos vs CD Palencia Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 0
BUR
73%
20%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
UDM
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDG
1 - 1
BUR
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CAU
2 - 1
BUR
48%
28%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
3 - 4
CAU
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Palencia Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 3
RCF
17%
25%
58%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
CDP
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 3
CEL
21%
24%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CDP
0 - 3
IZA
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 0
CDP
73%
19%
8%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |