Burgos vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
ZAR
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATM
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SPO
3 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
CEL
61%
23%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
MAL
3 - 0
DEP
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
MAL
50%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
MAL
1 - 1
SAB
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAL
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 0
GRA
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |