Burgos vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
FCB
0 - 0
BUR
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1976 |
CAD
3 - 0
BUR
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
OSA
2 - 1
BUR
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
BUR
0 - 0
CEL
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAD
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
CAS
1 - 2
CDT
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
CAS
0 - 0
CCF
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
GIM
0 - 0
CAS
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
CAS
1 - 0
TER
78%
16%
6%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ALA
2 - 2
CAS
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |