Burgos vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
VCF
3 - 0
BUR
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BUR
0 - 0
CEL
51%
27%
21%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
DEP
2 - 1
BUR
57%
26%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BUR
2 - 2
MAL
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BUR
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
CEL
2 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAL
43%
31%
27%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
RSO
0 - 0
CAS
73%
19%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
CAS
1 - 4
ATH
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAS
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |