Burgos vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
RUN
1 - 2
BUR
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 0
RSO
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
EIB
1 - 0
BUR
67%
23%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 1
CFP
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
BUR
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ALF
3 - 2
LEM
33%
31%
36%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ALF
0 - 2
RUN
30%
30%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
RSO
3 - 1
ALF
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ALF
0 - 1
EIB
17%
29%
54%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CFP
3 - 0
ALF
56%
26%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |