Burgos vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GIM
0 - 0
BUR
38%
32%
30%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 3
BAR
50%
29%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALA
0 - 0
BUR
50%
28%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 2
RSO
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AMU
1 - 2
BUR
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ALF
0 - 3
ZAM
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 4
ALF
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALF
2 - 2
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDG
2 - 1
ALF
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ALF
1 - 1
SES
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |