Burgos vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
RCF
0 - 0
BUR
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
3 - 0
BUR
80%
13%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
1 - 0
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
BUR
2 - 2
BAR
38%
23%
39%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
UES
4 - 0
BUR
80%
11%
8%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1953 |
CAU
4 - 0
AVI
72%
16%
13%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
CAU
1 - 1
RCF
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
LLE
3 - 0
CAU
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
AVI
1 - 0
CAU
50%
21%
29%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
CAU
1 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |