Burgos vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BUR
40%
27%
32%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
BUR
2 - 1
ZAM
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
ALG
1 - 0
BUR
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATH
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 2
BUR
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
UDC
2 - 0
CFJ
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FRA
1 - 0
UDC
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
UDC
1 - 0
UFC
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FIG
0 - 4
UDC
19%
26%
55%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
UDC
5 - 2
FUE
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |