Burgos vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
RMA
4 - 1
BUR
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
SLA
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
VAD
2 - 2
BUR
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
VCF
1 - 0
BUR
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
RAC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
FCB
1 - 0
IPS
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
FCB
4 - 3
ATH
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 1
FCB
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
IPS
2 - 1
FCB
53%
25%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
3 - 1
VCF
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |