Burgos vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
BET
2 - 1
BUR
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
BUR
3 - 2
RSO
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
HUE
1 - 2
BUR
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
VCF
1 - 0
BUR
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 1
RAY
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
FCB
3 - 0
IPS
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
FCB
2 - 3
RMA
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
IPS
3 - 0
FCB
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
FCB
3 - 1
SEV
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |