Burgos vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
21%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALA
0 - 0
BUR
50%
28%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 2
RSO
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AMU
1 - 2
BUR
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 3
RSO
9%
20%
71%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 2
PON
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 0
ZAM
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAR
20%
30%
50%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CDG
0 - 0
BAR
27%
28%
44%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
SES
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |