Burgos vs Badalona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
BUR
4 - 0
SDI
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
GIM
1 - 0
BUR
55%
22%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
BUR
0 - 2
RSO
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
LOG
0 - 0
BUR
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
BUR
1 - 0
OVI
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
BAD
0 - 3
BET
19%
27%
54%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAD
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
BAD
1 - 0
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
CDC
1 - 0
BAD
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
BAD
1 - 1
CAS
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |