Burgos vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
BUR
1 - 0
SEV
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
HER
3 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BUR
1 - 0
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 0
BUR
72%
17%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BUR
0 - 2
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
HSV
3 - 0
ATM
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
ATM
1 - 0
UDL
76%
15%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 1
HSV
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATM
32%
29%
39%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 1
BET
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |