Burgos vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
BUR
82%
14%
4%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
UPL
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 2
BUR
35%
28%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 1
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
AST
2 - 3
AVI
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SPB
0 - 1
AST
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 2
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
OVI
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SOM
2 - 1
AST
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |