Burgos vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
BUR
0 - 0
FCB
33%
30%
36%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
ESP
2 - 0
BUR
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATM
31%
28%
40%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
RMA
2 - 0
BUR
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
BUR
3 - 3
UDL
45%
28%
26%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
41%
29%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
BET
0 - 0
ATH
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
ATH
3 - 3
OVI
72%
18%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
VCF
4 - 1
ATH
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |