Burgos vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 0
CLH
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 0
CEL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 0
ZAM
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
BUR
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 1
CEL
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SDL
1 - 0
ATH
15%
20%
65%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ATH
3 - 1
TUD
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CLH
2 - 1
ATH
23%
22%
55%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 0
SDL
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |