Burgos vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
SLA
0 - 0
BUR
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 2
CAS
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1970 |
LUG
0 - 3
BUR
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
OVI
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
BUR
4 - 2
LUG
87%
10%
4%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 1
PON
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ATH
1 - 0
OVI
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 0
ATH
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
PON
2 - 5
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |