Burgos vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
LLE
2 - 1
BUR
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
PON
0 - 0
BUR
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BUR
2 - 1
ZAM
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 1
CDO
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
ALA
0 - 0
BUR
47%
29%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ARO
1 - 0
ZAM
48%
29%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ALA
6 - 1
ARO
68%
22%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ARO
4 - 3
FCA
46%
29%
25%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
AND
3 - 3
ARO
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1986 |
ARO
1 - 1
COM
59%
25%
17%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |