Burgos vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AST
0 - 1
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
RAC
17%
25%
59%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COX
0 - 2
BUR
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 0
RCF
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ACF
0 - 1
CUL
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 1
ACF
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ACF
0 - 1
SOM
36%
26%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
ACF
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ACF
3 - 1
SPB
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |