Burgos vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
15%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SES
1 - 0
BUR
32%
31%
37%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
BAR
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 2
BUR
44%
29%
28%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 0
ZAM
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CDG
0 - 0
BUR
33%
31%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AMU
1 - 1
ALF
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
RUN
1 - 0
AMU
56%
26%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AMU
0 - 3
RSO
34%
29%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
EIB
3 - 1
AMU
73%
20%
7%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
AMU
1 - 1
CFP
38%
30%
32%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |