Burgos vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
BUR
4 - 0
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
TOR
74%
18%
8%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 3
BUR
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 0
CDH
73%
19%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
MNC
0 - 1
SDA
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SDA
3 - 0
MNC
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SDA
2 - 2
LAU
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CDU
0 - 3
SDA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 0
EIB
74%
18%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |