Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Burgos vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 0
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 0
DEP
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
SDA
75%
17%
7%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CDH
0 - 0
BUR
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 0
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
PXD
2 - 2
ALM
55%
25%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ALM
2 - 1
PXD
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ANT
1 - 1
ALM
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ALM
3 - 3
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |