Burgos vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
BUR
3 - 1
LOG
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 4
BUR
25%
29%
46%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 0
OVI
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
AMU
0 - 2
BUR
22%
29%
49%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
GRA
0 - 1
ALC
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 0
RCD
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
FCB
1 - 2
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
ELD
63%
22%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |