Burgos vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
BUR
0 - 3
CEL
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
SEV
0 - 0
BUR
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
BUR
2 - 6
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
MLL
2 - 0
BUR
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BUR
1 - 0
JER
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
ALA
0 - 1
VAD
29%
28%
44%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
CEL
2 - 0
ALA
83%
13%
5%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
ALA
2 - 0
RCF
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALA
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
ALA
1 - 1
BET
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |