Burgos vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
EUR
1 - 0
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
BUR
4 - 0
SLA
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
CON
2 - 2
BUR
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 0
SDI
64%
20%
17%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
SPO
1 - 0
BUR
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
ALA
3 - 5
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
UPL
0 - 0
ALA
57%
20%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ALA
1 - 0
RSO
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ALA
1 - 1
HOS
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
BAD
7 - 1
ALA
55%
21%
24%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -2 |