Burgos vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
BAS
1 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
BUR
2 - 2
SDI
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ATB
3 - 0
BUR
60%
20%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1963 |
LEV
1 - 0
BUR
79%
12%
8%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BUR
1 - 0
CON
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ALA
0 - 2
RAC
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
CEL
1 - 2
ALA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
ESP
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
SAB
2 - 3
ALA
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
UPL
79%
12%
9%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |