Burgos vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 1
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BÉJ
0 - 0
BUR
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
BUR
9 - 0
CIU
87%
8%
4%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
AST
1 - 3
BUR
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
5 - 0
SAL
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ALA
3 - 0
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ALF
0 - 4
ALA
34%
23%
43%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ALA
4 - 0
LOG
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
MIR
0 - 3
ALA
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ALA
3 - 0
BKE
88%
8%
4%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |