Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-2
Burgos vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
GIM
51%
21%
28%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
GIM
2 - 3
BUR
81%
11%
8%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALA
53%
21%
26%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
EIB
2 - 0
BUR
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
REC
80%
12%
9%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1952 |
PUL
0 - 1
UDL
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
MLL
3 - 1
PUL
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
PUL
5 - 0
GRA
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
PUL
4 - 3
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MUR
2 - 0
PUL
70%
17%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |