Burgos vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 3
VAD
25%
23%
53%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
ALC
0 - 1
BUR
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 0
CDO
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
LEO
0 - 2
BUR
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ALB
0 - 1
BUR
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
AGD
0 - 2
SEV
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
AGD
2 - 1
EIB
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
ALZ
1 - 0
AGD
32%
33%
35%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
AGD
2 - 2
REC
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
AGD
2 - 0
ZAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |