Burgos U19 vs Ponferradina U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
14º
1º
49
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
91% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
BCF
7%
14%
80%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 3
BCF
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BCF
4 - 2
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SEG
0 - 2
BCF
11%
17%
73%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 2
CDP
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PON
1 - 3
CDP
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PON
8%
16%
77%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
LEO
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COL
3 - 3
PON
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
BUD
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | +1 |