Burgos U19 vs Real Madrid U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
10º
4º
52
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 77 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 74 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 56 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 51 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 60% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
65.5% | 40% |
|
Possible next round
|
18% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BCF
4 - 1
RCA
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GET
2 - 1
BCF
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 0
ATM
13%
18%
70%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +4 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DIO
1 - 1
BCF
40%
22%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 1
UDL
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
RMA
26%
20%
54%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 0
GET
90%
8%
2%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
DIO
89%
8%
3%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
MIL
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |