Burgos U19 vs DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+213%
+99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
14º
1º
34
6º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
91% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 3
BCF
13%
17%
71%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BCF
4 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 4
BCF
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BCF
3 - 3
REA
26%
23%
52%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 3
BCF
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
UNI
21%
21%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SEG
2 - 0
COL
22%
23%
55%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
CDP
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
LEO
27%
23%
50%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |