Burgos U19 vs Atlético U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
4º
48
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 77 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 74 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 51 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 41 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
45.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
50% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 18 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
41.5% | 67.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DIO
1 - 1
BCF
40%
22%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 1
UDL
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 3
BCF
11%
17%
73%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 1
RAY
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 2
BCF
54%
22%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
4 - 2
ATM
51%
22%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
5 - 0
GET
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
LIL
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 1
RCA
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DIO
0 - 1
ATM
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |