Burgess Hill Town vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 0
VCD
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 2
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
5 - 0
WHI
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
WHY
2 - 1
BUR
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
TON
2 - 3
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
HEN
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
KIN
0 - 2
GRA
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
HEN
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |