Burgess Hill Town vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 5
HAR
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ENF
1 - 0
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 2
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 0
VCD
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FAR
5 - 1
LEW
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 3
CON
21%
25%
55%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
EAS
0 - 0
FAR
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 3
CHM
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
FAR
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |