Burgess Hill Town vs Amersham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 2
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
CRO
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
TOW
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
BEC
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LIT
4 - 1
BUR
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Amersham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
AMT
1 - 0
ANF
16%
17%
67%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANF
3 - 3
AMT
64%
19%
17%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AMT
4 - 1
CLE
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | +3 |