Burg vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
78.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
WOL
0 - 2
BUR
35%
23%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BUR
6 - 1
BLU
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 3
BUR
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 7
BRE
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VFL
1 - 4
BUR
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
OSC
4 - 2
WER
12%
16%
72%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
WER
4 - 1
SCH
91%
7%
3%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WER
3 - 3
OBE
48%
22%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
WER
3 - 1
HAB
84%
10%
5%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 9
WER
5%
11%
84%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |