Burg vs VfL Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BLU
1 - 1
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 2
OSC
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
WUL
4 - 2
BUR
41%
23%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
HAB
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
BUR
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VFL
0 - 1
MEL
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VFL
3 - 3
BLU
31%
23%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OSC
0 - 0
VFL
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VFL
2 - 0
WUL
57%
21%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HAB
1 - 2
VFL
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |