Burg vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
66.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SGA
9 - 0
BUR
90%
8%
2%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WER
9 - 1
BUR
94%
5%
2%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 2
OST
45%
22%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
5 - 2
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 5
BLU
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VAT
3 - 1
OST
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
VAT
63%
19%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VAT
0 - 3
BLU
21%
20%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BRE
8 - 0
VAT
89%
7%
3%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VAT
1 - 2
VFL
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |