Burg vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
32%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TUR
4 - 6
BUR
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
BRI
25%
20%
54%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LEH
1 - 3
BUR
8%
15%
77%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
OSC
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OST
3 - 2
BUR
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VAT
1 - 2
BLU
47%
22%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WER
0 - 3
VAT
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
VAT
2 - 3
BRE
9%
14%
78%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SGA
2 - 3
VAT
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
VAT
5 - 1
SPA
12%
19%
70%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | +6 |