Burg vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
80.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
SFL
1 - 0
BUR
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 6
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
WOL
5 - 0
BUR
85%
10%
5%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BUR
0 - 1
SVL
11%
15%
75%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VAT
5 - 0
BUR
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
TKA
2 - 3
SVL
77%
13%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VAT
4 - 1
TKA
44%
21%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
TKA
4 - 4
VAB
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OTB
3 - 3
TKA
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
TKA
2 - 2
BOR
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |