Burg vs Melchiorshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TUR
3 - 6
BUR
54%
20%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 3
TSS
15%
17%
68%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
3 - 0
WUL
9%
14%
77%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SFL
11 - 0
BUR
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 3
OBE
5%
11%
85%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Melchiorshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
4 - 0
WUL
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAB
2 - 0
MEL
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
SVH
37%
22%
42%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SFL
0 - 3
MEL
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
6 - 0
ASS
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | +2 |