Burg vs Melchiorshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SGA
3 - 2
BUR
79%
13%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
WER
5 - 2
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 1
WEY
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VFL
0 - 3
BUR
74%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 5
BLU
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Melchiorshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
MEL
58%
21%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
WEY
4 - 0
MEL
40%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 6
BRI
21%
20%
60%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
OBE
0 - 7
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 2
VFL
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |