Burg vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
81.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 6
WER
8%
12%
80%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
OST
1 - 1
BUR
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
4 - 2
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BLU
4 - 2
BUR
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 4
BRE
7%
12%
81%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SGA
9 - 0
OST
88%
8%
4%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 4
SGA
10%
14%
75%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SGA
2 - 0
BLU
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
4 - 2
SGA
40%
22%
38%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SGA
3 - 0
VFL
90%
7%
2%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |