Burg vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
76.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 1
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 2
SCH
51%
20%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
6 - 1
BUR
71%
17%
13%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
VAT
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TUR
4 - 6
BUR
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SGA
1 - 1
BLU
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WER
3 - 1
SGA
55%
20%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SGA
3 - 1
BRE
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SGA
3 - 1
HAB
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 2
SGA
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |