Burg vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
8 - 2
TUR
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 3
BUR
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
WER
5 - 0
SGA
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
SGA
1 - 0
WEY
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SGA
4 - 2
SCH
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
VFL
2 - 1
SGA
29%
23%
49%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SGA
2 - 1
WER
15%
18%
68%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +3 |