Burg vs Schwachhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
6 - 1
BUR
71%
17%
13%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
VAT
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TUR
4 - 6
BUR
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
BRI
25%
20%
54%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LEH
1 - 3
BUR
8%
15%
77%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Schwachhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 1
BLU
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WER
9 - 0
SCH
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 5
BRE
6%
12%
82%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SGA
4 - 2
SCH
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 1
SPA
19%
21%
59%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |