Burg vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TUR
0 - 5
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BUR
3 - 6
SPA
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HAB
3 - 4
BUR
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 3
VAT
16%
18%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SGA
9 - 0
BUR
90%
8%
2%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
OSC
1 - 0
OST
85%
10%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 3
OSC
30%
22%
49%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
OSC
3 - 0
BLU
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
OSC
84%
10%
5%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
OSC
0 - 1
VFL
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |