Burg vs FC Sparta Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 2
MEL
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SGA
3 - 2
BUR
79%
13%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
WER
5 - 2
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 1
WEY
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VFL
0 - 3
BUR
74%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sparta Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 0
WUL
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FCB
3 - 1
VFL
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 2
BLU
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
OSC
3 - 0
FCB
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
HAB
0 - 2
FCB
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |