Burg vs Bremer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
79.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2013 |
SGA
3 - 0
BUR
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 3
SPA
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 4
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 7
UNI
25%
22%
52%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VAT
3 - 2
BUR
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bremer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
WER
1 - 1
BRE
60%
19%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
BRE
4 - 1
BLU
90%
8%
3%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 2
BRE
5%
10%
85%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
HAB
1 - 7
BRE
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
TUR
0 - 1
BRE
6%
12%
82%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |